Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.129752 0.152638 0.178218 0.208908 0.244710 0.285140 0.334249
2025-11-09 0.090633 0.118592 0.153146 0.198910 0.257860 0.331168 0.429204
2025-11-16 0.071812 0.101724 0.141556 0.198319 0.276966 0.381924 0.532487
2025-11-23 0.057727 0.087335 0.129277 0.192764 0.286159 0.418210 0.618793
2025-11-30 0.049940 0.079978 0.124856 0.196405 0.307206 0.471789 0.734277
2025-12-07 0.043067 0.072611 0.118924 0.196294 0.321757 0.516526 0.840979
2025-12-14 0.036666 0.064835 0.111000 0.191519 0.327742 0.547956 0.929714
2025-12-21 0.032206 0.059517 0.106149 0.190781 0.339653 0.589422 1.038515
2025-12-28 0.029700 0.057167 0.105877 0.197574 0.364754 0.654954 1.194464
2026-01-04 0.027780 0.055563 0.106616 0.206081 0.393605 0.729637 1.374124
2026-01-11 0.025629 0.053184 0.105574 0.211052 0.416383 0.795651 1.544957
2026-01-18 0.023253 0.050005 0.102574 0.211824 0.431158 0.848280 1.696183
2026-01-25 0.020206 0.045192 0.096104 0.205659 0.433164 0.879839 1.816496
2026-02-01 0.017200 0.040023 0.088255 0.195740 0.426640 0.894677 1.907107
2026-02-08 0.015444 0.037298 0.085092 0.195150 0.439187 0.948800 2.083552
2026-02-15 0.013542 0.033927 0.080034 0.189681 0.440475 0.979675 2.214763
2026-02-22 0.012536 0.032499 0.079092 0.193266 0.462053 1.055753 2.451772
2026-03-01 0.011400 0.030568 0.076709 0.193156 0.475166 1.114771 2.657784
2026-03-08 0.010127 0.028081 0.072647 0.188456 0.476891 1.148407 2.809933
2026-03-15 0.009223 0.026409 0.070341 0.187729 0.488012 1.204728 3.021269
2026-03-22 0.008783 0.025919 0.070940 0.194417 0.518248 1.309298 3.359636
2026-03-29 0.008449 0.025669 0.072128 0.202792 0.553793 1.430534 3.752358
2026-04-05 0.007983 0.024967 0.072016 0.207685 0.580920 1.534026 4.112397